Zodiac Times

God measures our time by Zodiac Clock. I am an astrologer. I know how to read God's clock. But it is my business what I do with my alotted time. This is my spiritual journey.

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Archive for the ‘labor market’ Category

SHARK TANK

Posted by Ella Moss on April 8, 2012

I was watching Shark Tank a few days ago. A guy from the middle of America came in with an invention for small trucks.
The invention was a useful one for truckers (I am not one of them), but required some serious investment.
The guy was adamant about producing his invention in America. He was talking about his hometown, where all the big employers have left, and unemployment and poverty are rampant. He was talking about his love for OUR country and that he dreams to contribute somehow to OUR prosperity, and to that of his hometown in particular.
The Sharks raised the issue of the costs of production in the U.S. (US) being much greater than that of overseas.
The guy countered, raising quality and trustworthiness issues with overseas production, citing some examples.
There was no doubt that the Sharks were impressed with the guy and his position. One of the Sharks actually cried remembering his dad, a factory worker, who was so proud of being a factory worker.
But none of them chose to invest in the guy’s invention out of concern that manufacturing it in the U.S. (US) would cost them more than that of overseas.
I understand their position, being a business woman myself, no matter how morally wrong that might be.
When I choose my contractors for a job, their rates are one of most important factors in my consideration. After all, I am in business to make money
Of course, the money I make are so slim (barely keeping my family above water), that I am in no position to follow my principles.
But the Sharks are. The Bush’s tax cuts, financial deregulations, and the NAFTA agreement (signed by Clinton) made them so much richer while the rest of us are so much poorer.
Yes, it’s true that the economy now is global and the labor market is in particular. Yes, Americans now compete for jobs with Chinese, Russians, Indians, etc., who can afford much lower wages. So the whatever jobs in America are left also offer lower wages (and that is how we get poorer).
As we get poorer, our government gets poorer (it’s income is our taxes). It can no longer offer comfortable retirement plans, etc., and must borrow to keep the poorest of the poor from hitting the pavement and rioting.
Talking to that guy, the Sharks cited Apple as an example of the company that manufactures offshore, yet employs 45,000 people in the U.S. thanks to great long-term planning.
But these 45,000 American employees are mainly salespeople who sell Apple products to us. As we get poorer (and we will – until the global labor market’s wages get equal everywhere, we are going to see our incomes slide), we would be able to afford iphones, Macs, ipads less and less (I cannot afford neither of them as we speak). Apple would have to then reduce its American sales force more and more, until it may get out of American market altogether. As its market shrinks, so will its production, and Apple itself will get poorer and poorer.
But that is really long term planning, and no business nowadays plans that far ahead.
Our “truck” guy is but a Don Quixote of our times. He is fighting the tsunami of changes that swept our world with the onset of the global economy.
I see Obama as such a Don Quixote as well. He is fighting the losing battle too, as he believes in compromises with the other side of the political isle to the point that he almost committed political suicide last August (remember the deficit ceiling debacle?). He seems to ignore the political reality, where Republicans are being ruled by 1 person, Grover Norquist, who is financed by the likes of brothers Koch, and the policies Republicans endorse and push are being carefully prepared and fed to them by ALEC, the group of 18 large corporations.
In such political reality, the welfare of the U.S. (US, the people) is pushed aside for the sake of winning the power and making more money for ALEC and the likes of Koch brothers (even though it is ultimately short-sighted goal).
One cannot even blame them. We all are faulty in that we want our prosperity now, counting that the future would take care of itself. This is true for Democrats like me just as much as it is true for Republicans.
Even though our money bills say “In God we trust”, we trust in money bills so much more.
It takes people with more money than their possible life span may require, like Warren Buffet, to raise above the Green God and put the welfare of their country first. But their voices are the lonely voices lost in the wilderness.
Everybody admires them and aspires after them, but no one hears them.
When Warren Buffet said that Bush’s tax cuts were intended to create the tide that lifted all boats, but in reality only all yachts were lifted, the yacht owners chose to ignore their idol.
The GOP now is months from nominating Mitt Romney, one of these yacht owners. He would surely uphold the policies that lifted his yacht. Even though his background shows more concern for the fellow Americans (like his health insurance reform in Massachusetts, for instance) then the greater majority of GOP leadership, one cannot forget that he is a Shark. He too would cry out of sympathy with a trucker and then send him away with nothing.
I’ve heard Obama talking about the same tax reform I’ve been screaming in the wilderness on these pages for years now: the reform where companies get financially rewarded for keeping jobs here and financially punished for sending them overseas. I am not counting on these reforms even if he gets to them (if he wins the election and has enough political capital to get the ball rolling), because he may compromise the life out of these reforms too – just as he did with health care, financial regulations, etc.
I think if our leaders cannot or are unwilling to take care of our country, we, the people, should start doing it ourselves. Please read New Economy, or Buy American, Stupid!

Posted in American economy, economy, FINANCES, global economy, labor market, opinion, personal finance, politics, predictions, Uncategorized | Tagged: , , , , , , , , , | Leave a Comment »

THE MYTHOLOGY AND REALITY OF FREE ENTERPRISE

Posted by Ella Moss on October 15, 2011

Last week I took my 10 y.o. son to the “Occupy Wall Street” hang out so he could see the democracy in action.
Since I have predicted these kind of protests in my “From Middle East to Middle of America” piece in February, I was particularly interested in witnessing this protest.
Although I consider myself one of the 99% unrepresented people in the US by either politicians or the media, and “The 99%” is the subtitle of this protest, I found that none of the tiny groups gathered in this tiny square represented me either. I am neither an anarchist, nor socialist nor Ron Paul fan.
The only guy who more-or-less spoke for me there was a little known scientist / politician Harry Braun of PhoenixProjectFoundation.us.. He was interesting to me not just because of the stories he told of scientific inventions ready to change the world but stalled because The Big Corporations were against them, but because he rightfully suggested that THE ONLY WAY TO CIRCUMVENT THE BIG BUSINESS LOBBYING IS BY CALLING CONSTITUTIONAL CONVENTIONS.
I believe that Big Business Lobbying is a huge part of all the wrong things that have lead to the present economic and political crisis.
This lobbying by the way is exactly why the “Free enterprise” ideology is nothing but a promotion of a dangerous myth.
In order to separate the mythology of “Free Enterprise” ideology from facts, one needs to examine history from the economics perspective.
Skipping the stone age, let’s start from slave labor based economics of the ancient Greece, Rome and the rest of the world, really, of that time.
The government regulated that economy by protecting the rights of slave owners and undermining the rights of slaves. The ancient countries and towns also had trade tariffs. Most importantly, social customs created “casts” that largely prevented poor people even if free to move up the social ladder and participate in profitable enterprise. So the enterprise was not quite free then.The economy, by the way, was of strictly “trickle down” variety, and middle class was no larger than 10% of society, where 1% were the rich and powerful, and the rest 89% were poor and poorer.
Entering the Middle Ages:
The economy was now feudal. The laborers were no longer slaves, even though they too could be bought and sold, and had no real freedom of movement within the territory and societal ladder. The middle class was still negligible, and the economy was still regulated by
a) societal customs of “casts” (i.e. the children of a tailor would be tailors, and peasants could not become aristocracy)
b) Laws that protected aristocracy and the rich and undermined the rights of everyone else
c) trade tariffs
So enterprise was not free either.
Moving on to the Industrial Age:
Breakthroughs in scientific discoveries were closely followed by technological advances, birthing industries that were as labor intensive as agriculture and required promotion of societal and migrational movement within society.
Since industries also required large financial investments, and money historically concentrated within the 1% of the rich and powerful, the same rich and powerful instituted new laws that allowed poor enough freedom to move around and enslave themselves for substandard wages to industrialists.
The many revolutions of that time, including the American one, were lead by rich and powerful (who were also the only educated people) that were able to capitalize on always present anger of the poor.
The American civil war was based on the fact that industrialized North needed laborers and could not afford slaves (who, besides being expensive, needed housing away from cities (segregation requirement) + transportation, etc.), so it needed to change the laws that favored the slave-labor based agricultural South. Everything else is a myth.
The large industries also needed the educated middle class to manage the many laborers, so education and money began to trickle down through the society, allowing for middle class growth.
While tariffs were still being implemented, the enterprise was largely unregulated, so it was at its freest stage.
Small businesses were popping up, the middle class was about 25%, but most of the wealth still belonged to the 1% of the rich and powerful that were investing into all big industries of that time (railroads, automotive business, oil, etc.).
Whenever these “Rubber Barons” encountered competition from a small business, they were either buying the small guy out or starve him out by lowering prices below cost (they were rich and they could afford it). Monopolies were easily achievable. Those industries that could not be gobbled up by 1 rich entity, resorted to fixing prices to keep the small guy at the bottom feed.
But that irked other rich people as well as now they also had difficulty entering the established industries (which were already monopolized or “fixed”), so new “Anti-monopoly and anti-trust” laws were put in place (although I still remember AT&T as a telephone monopoly).
But business went largely unregulated until the Great Depression.
This, however, did not create a happy prosperous society anywhere.
The nature of any business is to make as much profit as possible at the lowest possible cost. By the way, slaves are more expensive then laborers working for low wages. Besides being expensive outright, slaves need to be fed, clothed and housed. A free laborer must worry about all that himself and costs the lowest possible wage to the business. A business that is not regulated would not provide any health / retirement benefits if laborers have to compete for jobs. So large unemployment is good for business.
Businesses don’t care much about the future either. Their task is to maximize profits in the short run. Businesses don’t get sick or retire, they have no social conscience – they are not people. The owners of businesses may have conscience and may do charity. They may even make their business to give $ to charity if that generates good will and helps profit.
But any business is a money-making venture, pure and simple. Monopolies are good for businesses that can make it there; price fixing is profitable (many businesses continue doing this despite the regulations); cheap labor is coveted.
The more businesses are unregulated, the happier are the investors (the rich and powerful 1% of the society), and the harder it is on general population.
So during the early 20th century, the general population was living the tough life. In fact, the poor (70+%) were much, much angrier than even during the feudal times. They worked 80 hrs/ wk and barely made their ends meet for they were paid slave wages. They did not have the calming satisfaction of working the land and feeling one with nature. They felt used. So new revolutions were taking place all over: Russia, Germany, Spain, Italy, etc.
Countries that did not have full-blown revolutions, had plenty of unrest that was met with new laws favoring more equality.
The U.S. was no exception. The government had to relent and give legitimacy to unions. The Great Depression necessitated financial regulations to be put in place.
Since unions had money and bargaining power, the Big Business has finally met its match.
It was forced to pay living wages and benefits to its workers, and the middle class began to grow exponentially.
With the growth of the middle class came prosperity and much greater degree of equality.
The Big Business could not give up, however.
So
a)It made lobbying into an institution in order to persuade the government to do what it needed the government to do. For example, the oil industry needed to
1) keep other sources of energy out
2) get free ride from taxes and, on pretenses of needing the money to keep exploring oil fields, get subsidies and tax loop-holes
3) influence the international politics to keep oil countries in its pocket through war or piece, etc.
In fact, the government of every industrialized nation became mainly the promoter of the Big Business agenda.
b) The Big Business began privately funding “Think Tanks” in order to create so-called experts and promoters of ideology that suited the Big Business, and the “Conservative Movement” was born
c) The Big Business created organizations like ALEC, where 19 major corporations, like AT&T, ExxonMobil, Koch Industries, etc., meet with Republican politicians and give them the policies they would like to implement
d) The Big Business created the myth of “Liberal Left-leaning media” and began to promote its ideology via “alternative” conservative media.
I don’t remember who said at the advent of mass media that whoever controls the media he controls the world. Both, Hitler and Stalin knew and did that very well.
You would think that in the U.S. this would be difficult to implement. But people forget that media is also Big Business. So it was never liberal. Perhaps, it used to be more fair-handed by making profit through exposing popular opinion.
But since “liberal Media” myth was created, media has been scared to expose the polular opinion, and now is exposing the fringe opinion only, so the 99% of population feel left out.
Frankly, being part of this 99%, I never really cared much for either politics or economics, until it hit me in the pocket.
All uprisings begin when people feel unfairly impoverished.
Since the richer and better educated Big Business has been now winning its fight with unions through the subtle strategies outlined above, and the 99% of the population are feeling it, the uprising has began.
Like I’ve been saying, Pluto, the demolition ball of the universe, has entered Capricorn, the sign of societal law and order, government and corporations, in December of 2008, and that what it is going to transform in the next 14 years (it is there through 2023).
So the Arab Spring and “Occupy Wall Street” are the buds of bigger things to come.
And, unless we can establish the constitutional conventions or elect smart politicians in both houses + the White House (too far-fetched, right?), we are facing a really rough ride as a society.
By the way, like I said, I am not a socialist. I am an owner of small business, who is trying to hang on to my middle class status.

Posted in American economy, astrology, economy, education, FINANCES, global economy, labor market, opinion, personal finance, politics, predictions, Uncategorized | Tagged: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 2 Comments »

AMERICAN ECONOMY S.O.S.

Posted by Ella Moss on August 9, 2011

So it happened.
In my predictions in Financial Crisis – It’s Not Over Until It’s Over I was wrong by pinpointing 8/1/2010 as the crest of our economic troubles. The economic tsunami came exactly 1 year later.
I think it is because I have mistaken Mars for a trigger of the events. As I’ve said in my article The Moon, the trigger was the lunar eclipse that came on the darkest day of last year – the winter solstice. It fell on those sensitive degrees, marked by planetary war on American Venus that I have described in Financial Crisis article.
This lunar eclipse made things darker and bigger. Not only our economy has trembled, but the political debacle over debt-ceiling marked the crisis of our government as well.
Our country is in the free fall, just like financial markets, because our government was found to be absolutely inept.
Here I’d like to cite from an article I found on the internet today:
“Economics professor Bradford Delong, from the University of California-Berkeley, says the damage done through the six months of wrangling over the debt ceiling, which analysts note has been lifted 78 times since 1960 and 49 times under Republican presidents, was a distraction the US could ill afford.
Writing in the Australian Financial Review, Professor Delong decries the neglect of all the “useful policies that might have been debated and enacted, but were not”, citing climate change initiatives, policies to boost employment, education and healthcare financing, plus improvements to America’s “decaying infrastructure”. These policies, he believes, would help improve the economy in the long run and bring down unemployment that, according to the US Bureau of Statistics, is at a high of 9.2 per cent. Looming large also was the loss of standing as “conductor of the international economic orchestra”, Professor Delong wrote, warning that if the US can no longer be relied upon as the arbiter of global governance, then the world needs to develop “other institutions for global management” – and fast.”
Well, Chinese are already issuing warnings of dollar devaluation, acting as the financial cop of the world – the title previously reserved for the U.S. government.
We are sliding from our perch of super-power to the “also has been” super fast, and there are not enough grown-ups on the Capitol Hill to save us. I think I was overly optimistic in all my predictions. I think I should revise them as follows:
a) the U.S. is going to be marred in prolonged depression, with real unemployment (counting those who are no longer eligible for benefits) at about 30%. The wage and property deflation are going to make 90% of the population to be so poor as living hand-to-mouth. Meanwhile, groceries, gas and transit costs are going to grow at 10% – 20% inflation rates.
The economy is going to contract until 2014, when it may begin to show some growth again.
The majority of the population will remain poor for many years to come though, as policies and competition over jobs would wipe out unions and, with them, the remnants of the middle class. In other words, we are no longer going to be the consumer society, with 70% of economy depending on consumption.
b) The crime and civil unrest would become much more evident for many years to come.
c) Politics would continue to make our government more and more disfunctional
d) The good news is we are likely to stop making wars abroad
e) Europe is not likely to be spared either. Once Germany is going to find itself unable to carry the rest of the European states, European Union is likely to disintegrate back into miriad of states, and so will the euro.
f) Chinese economy will faulter as well, as dollar and euro falls, but it will survive and will take the super-power title
g)Russia, Canada, Australia, Brazil and India will fair much better, getting stronger over the next decade, while the U.S. and Europe are going to struggle to survive.
h) Africa, Afghanistan and Middle East are going to continue to be the worst places to live in, maintaining the global terror threat.
In other words, it sucks, and whatever Obama or the next administration is going to do is going to be too little too late.

Posted in American economy, astrology, economy, FINANCES, global economy, labor market, politics, predictions, Uncategorized | Tagged: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a Comment »

THE ENEMIES IN OUR MIDST OR HOW TO KILL THE WORLD’S LARGEST ECONOMY

Posted by Ella Moss on June 11, 2011

I just heard on the news that the 3rd Al Queda biggie was killed, giving the U.S. the edge on that murky shapeless war on terror we have been officially waging since 2001.
While I am happy to hear these news, I think that even we were to win the 4 wars (1.this “war on terror”; 2. in Afghanistan; 3. in Iraq; 4. in Lybia), we’ve been waging since the fateful 2001 (and I am not counting the “war on drugs”), we are heading to lose our way of life.
It’s not the democracy I am worried about here, but material comfort and relative peace on the streets (outside of occasional shootings and muggings).
It appears that there has been another war waging, and it is on American economy.
It’s beginnings are murky. But I would trace it as far back as Reagan’s Administration, that first began an unofficial war on unions. Unions make labor-intensive manufacturing very expensive and eat into profits of investors.
Well, nobody likes unions (except for unions’ bosses), so what’s the big deal?
The big deal is that everybody likes the middle class.
The middle class is as essential to any economy, as an engine to a car. Without it, economy is dead.
Even if we were to end up with a few thousands of super rich dudes, while the rest of us would struggle to survive (i.e. the middle class would disappear completely), all the many billions of these super rich would not create the job growth a multi-million population requires. They would invest into emerging markets, not the dying ones.
Why would they create a factory of any kind in the U.S., where people are struggling to stretch a dollar to pay rent, bills and buy groceries and their discretional income is so tight that all they can afford is cheap Chinese goods in Walmart, when these super rich investors can build a factory in Brazil, or India, or same China, where people are eager to spend their increasing earnings?
By the way, is not it one of the main reasons, that the numbers of unemployed right now stay where they are despite us giving continuous tax breaks to these super rich?
Yes, the second attack on American economy began during the prosperous 1990s, when Clinton Administration signed away any kind of protection of American labor force, and internet was born (internet makes outsourcing a breeze).
Suddenly, American labor force had to compete with the labor force of other countries, and American people could no longer ask for wage increase, because the majority of the world’s labor force was so much cheaper and just as good.
It took about 10 years for Americans to notice that their incomes were stagnating while their bills grew. They kept waiting for their personal prosperity to come, while changing jobs, professions and investing into 401K and increasingly expensive real estate.
But Clinton Administration also approved the deregulation of financial markets.
Suddenly, the credit was so cheap and so available, that the American people have not noticed that their actual discretional income was dwindling to nothing.
Why worry, if one could still buy a McMansion, and buy even more stuff by turning the McMansion into an ATM machine?
Yes, 1990s were prosperous. The economy was booming as people were eager consumers. The problem was that everything was bought on credit rather then with actual money.
Everyone was expecting the actual income to catch up, as it used to.
But it did not, because so many jobs have either left the country or paid as much as in other (read CHEAPER) countries.
Eventually, the credit bubble had to burst, and it did in 2008.
If the federal government did not pump money into the banks that lost the money by lending it to population so indiscriminately, The economy would have simply collapse like it did in Argentina in 1990s.
Americans were saved, although suddenly they came face to face with their economic reality and realized they were so much poorer than a decade ago.
So many of them have lost their job, that those who did not no longer dared to ask for a wage increase or benefits or union perks. In fact, they started giving up their last benefits and perks just so they could keep a job.
And that is when the final attack on American economy began.
Since it was now the federal government that was pulling the economy down the road as its engine, the middle class, stalled, the enemies in our midst began to attack the federal government.
The ideas Obama put on the table were nothing short of brilliant: invest federal dollars into aging crumbling infrastructure and green economy – labor-intensive enterprises that must hire domestic labor force. Every created job would spur on 10s of other jobs, and the economy would begin humming again.
But the enemies in our midst thought otherwise. Suddenly, federal deficit began to be used as a panic-inspiring weapon of choice.
Of course, the surplus that Clinton Administration left the country with would have been a much better deal. But if credit is sparse everywhere else, how else would you come up with money needed to pump the economy?
The enemies in our midst said, “Let starve the federal government of tax income, let’s keep taxes low so the few super rich would invest their money into economy. The government is too big and lives beyond its means. Its deficit is going to bankrupt our children”.
Americans love their children, so anything threatening the kids works as a great scarecrow.
They are also badly educated (read my American Education Reform ).
So Obama’s proposals were decimated, the government began shedding its work force, unemployment came back to its pick numbers, and unions everywhere lost their power and benefits.
Now there is no one to pull our economy from the brink. Those who are employed, work at REDUCED wages, that are getting closer to the 3rd world range.
Meanwhile, every single life staple, like groceries, rent, cable bills, insurance, etc. doubled or more in price (as compared to 10 yrs ago or less). Even those who work at median salaries have less money to buy desirable but unnecessary things.
This means that businesses producing and selling anything that is not a life staple make less profit so they begin to shed their labor force.
The less there is labor force, the less income the government gets. Since deficit is now a dirty word, the government has no choice but shed its work force and cut services to the impoverished population.
Now the time came to put the final nails into the coffin of what used to be the largest world economy: refuse to raise the ceiling on federal credit.
Once the federal government loses its credit-worthiness, watch American economy collapse into THE GREATER THAN THE GREAT DEPRESSION ditch.
The idiot dream of labor-intensive manufacturers like Koch brothers would come true:
labor in America would become as cheap as in Africa.
Unfortunately, the American workers would no longer be able to afford using the toilet paper they manufacture for Koch brothers. Like their African brethren, they would have to use tree leaves to wipe their asses. So Koch brothers would eventually go broke too.
No, it is not the federal deficit that threatens the future of our children. It is our inability to discern the enemies in our midst.
As for the scary federal deficit, it was Reagan administration that first racked it up into the trillions. Then Bush administration turned the surplus into another multi-trillion dollar debt. No one screamed of deficit while republicans were in power. The congress did not attack neither of the republican presidents for taking us into expensive wars (Reagan’s Panama blitz, Nicaragua fiasco, etc.; Bush’s Afghanistan, Iraq and the amorphous war on terror).
No, I am not happy at all with Lybia war either. I just don’t think it matters much anymore.
Like I predicted in 2008, “FINANCIAL CRISIS – IT’S NOT OVER UNTIL IT’S OVER”

Posted in American economy, economy, education, education reform, FINANCES, global economy, labor market, opinion, personal finance, politics, predictions, Uncategorized | Tagged: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 4 Comments »

FROM MIDDLE EAST TO MIDDLE OF AMERICA

Posted by Ella Moss on February 20, 2011

I was watching a sad Russian movie yesterday about WWII and thought how truly traumatic were the first 50 years of the last century:
In 1905, there was an on-going Russian Japanese war that have lead to the first Russian revolution, and 20,000 people perished in the earth quake in India.
Then there was a Balkan war that grew into WWI, and lead to the second Russian revolution in 1917and millions upon millions people perished all over the world from war, hardship, hunger and influenza before 1920s
1920s were the tiny period of respite, and then in 1930s the decimation of humanity renewed in earnest. Where there was no war, there was Great Depression or other calamities. Europe and North America would not see peace and prosperity until 1950s.
Of course, the wars and revolutions did not disappear then. But they became localized enough and relegated mainly to the “Third World”, so those of us, born in Russia, Europe, North America, Australia and New Zealand in the second half of the 20th century thought of peace and prosperity as something akin to an entitlement.

Welcome to the 21st century! The 9/11 of 2001 brought in a new era of an amorphous globalized war where no one is safe anywhere, The Great Financial Crisis in “The First World” and some kind of endless economic decline.
Globalization, welcomed during prosperous 1990s, brought in wage deflation and price inflation.
This in not official news just yet, but we all feel it (except for the tiny percentage of truly rich). Middle class is being systematically outpriced into oblivion.
2011 began with uprisings in Middle-East and Middle of America. Please, don’t think that Wisconsin and Ohio protests are much different from the spark in Tunisia that inflamed the Arab world. Since it happened less then 2 months ago, you must remember that the whole thing started there after a poor street vendor in Tunisia put himself on fire after a new license requirement that made it impossible for him and his kind to eke a living any longer.
Wisconsin governor, by taking away the power of unions to bargain collectively, has put that state on Tunisia path. Unions are the last remaining stronghold of the middle class. Taking away their ability to bargain collectively makes them toothless and leads to wage decline.
But the rest of the states is not far behind.

I am not part of any union. Instead, I am a small business owner who since 2008 is struggling to pay rent!
Formerly a member of the dwindling middle class, I am now watching my pennies. I went to a store another day to buy ingredients for chicken soup (a cheaper meal alternative) and was flabbergasted that it came to whooping $13.31! (This means that each bowl of that soup came to $2). With food, transit, cable, insurance, phone and rent prices going up so fast, I am being squeezed out of comfortable living faster than I can type these words!
I am sure that all my readers feel the same pain. And the aweful truth is that it is bound to get much worse.
While the Arab world is likely now to put Islamic extremist in power (watch the price of oil to sky-rocket), I really blame the American media for the problems of the past 2 years. Why?

Well, here’s why:
The times when we used to get real news from TV were so long ago, that I am not even sure there was such a thing.
Everyday they get fluffier and fluffier. Last week, I turned on channel 7 to watch World News with Diane Sawyer and watched nothing but fluff public announcements like statistics of obesity, church going, etc.
Since when statistics qualify as news? Don’t we have world news like uprisings and stuff?

But that is not the real killer. The real killer that most of the news nowadays is about opinions, sensations and side taking. What happened to investigative journalism? It is long gone, thanks to the cost cutting. And cost cutting is what we hear day after day in the “news”. This kind of “opinion news” is what gave the power to such fringe elements in politics like Tea Party people.
But most of the people in America still think that whatever they hear on the “news” is kind of official truth.
Unfortunately, most people in America are not educated enough (read my http://underzodiacclock.com/2010/10/05/american-education-reform/) to discern the stupidity of this opinion which “the news” made so popular. So Tea Buggers got elected to Congress, and now wield the real power to cut whatever jobs we have left in this country.
PLEASE, realize that whenever they scream “Cut the cost”, it is a job somewhere that is being cut!
Everytime a job is being cut, WE ALL COLLECTIVELY BECOME POORER! A person with a job pays rent, enriching a landlord, buys groceries and lunches, enriching food makers and sellers and restauranters and waiters, keeps up appearance, enriching barbers and clothiers and buys stuff with discretional income, enriching manufacturers and importers. If the job pays enough, a job holder travels, enriching travel industry. The more job holders there are, the more jobs are generated everywhere – and vice versa.
With 9% unemployment, we cannot afford to cut costs (i.e. jobs)!
Tea buggers also want to cut so called entitlements (Social security, medicaid, medicare). What this mean to you, that you would have to pick up those costs and pay more for medical insurance and taking care of your elderly relatives.
Tea buggers don’t want to cut oil companies subsidies or big farm subsidies, and they don’t want to raise taxes on the truly rich to the level of 1990s when jobs were actually created.
In other words, they don’t want to raise revenue to help decrease deficit. They think they can reduce it by cutting jobs or at the very least cutting salaries (how else would you cut costs in the bare bones world of today?).
But that only leads to decreasing revenues (every job/ salary cut means less $ collected in taxes).
The unemployed and underpaid would then go on government rolls to collect unemployment benefits, foodstamps, etc., further burdening the remaining tax payers and financially strangling the government out of existence (which is perhaps what they ultimately want). After all, they scream for smaller government and total deregulation of business. I am still waiting on them to legislate in slave labour – as a business owner I can certainly use that!!!
What we don’t hear much on “the news” is that it is the stupid tax cuts implemented by Bush and the Republican party, as well as deregulation of business and the stupid Iraq war is what brought the American economy to its knees in the first place. But for the news to trace the problems down to their roots would be something akin investigative journalism and they don’t do it anymore.
So Americans forget the actual facts and adopt the announced opinions fed to them as facts by the media in the “news”.
So I have news for you:
There are going to be more uprisings in America. Because all uprisings start when population in general can no longer eke out a living.
CUT THE TEA PARTY!!!!

Posted in American economy, economy, education, FINANCES, global economy, labor market, opinion, personal finance, politics, predictions, Uncategorized | Tagged: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 17 Comments »

ON TAXES, UNIONS, JOBS AND DANGEROUS POLITICS

Posted by Ella Moss on October 25, 2010

1. JOBS
What job would you prefer:
a) a job that has annual wage increase specified in the contract, over-time pay for all work done beyond 40 hours on weekdays, all benefits and pension one can live on after 10 years or so of service
b) 60+ hours per week, high stress job with no benefits, no over-time pay, no pension whatsoever and wages just above minimum specified by congress
If you said “a”, you prefer either government or a union job, if “b” (WHO ARE YOU?!) – you’re gunning for a private sector.
Since it is a buyer market, whether we talk real estate or jobs, that’s how private sector job looks like right now.
Our government is putting even more teeth into the buyer market by trying to cater to those we do not name who want less government, less unions, and, yes, less taxes. The government cuts down on hiring, and laying off as many people as possible. Our future governor Cuomo promises to cut agencies and authorities by another 20%. New York 18b panel is going to put another 1000 lawyers on the street.
Last December, a partner of a medium size law firm told me of a job interview for a associate position:
“She told me, ‘I was making $120,000 at so and so. I’ve said, ‘We do not pay above $75,000. And she took it!”
I would not be surprised, that next year he would offer $35,000 for the same job.
Now, you need at least 7 years of higher education to become a lawyer (all those student loans), and then you take on a 60+ hrs / wk high stress job. It used to be that at least salary was worth it. Not anymore.
Make no mistake, employers (me included) would really prefer slave labor. So with no competition, we would do our best to get as close to that ideal as possible.
Once “Tea buggers” are elected, we may even pass a slave law in congress.
2.Unions
We all hate unions. They make everything more expensive. Look at MTA: every year we pay more for public transportation despite lack of tangible improvements, while their workers get paid more than lawyers, have all benefits and can comfortably retire at 55 years of age. I personally may never be able to retire at all. And then they even have a nerve to strike once in a while!
Now teachers union is under fire. Just think, once you have a tenure, all you need is to show up at work – working itself is not required.
But do you know that before unions came into being, there was no tangible middle class at all? Do you realize that the U.S. became a prosperous country only when unions gained strength and created huge middle class?
When 90% of people earn subsistence wages only, they have no discretional income to buy all that producers of goods and services want them to buy. So producers cut on production and lay people off, and economy contracts even further. Take a look at how people used to live before unions: their houses hardly had closets (most people had only one or 2 dresses), the houses were much smaller and often 10 people would live in 1 room. Oh, by the way, most people in Africa or Bungladesh, or Mexico still live that way. They have no unions and lots of almost-slave labor.
Do you still want to get rid off unions?
3. TAXES
Like everyone else, I try to pay as little tax as possible. After all, it’s my money that the government takes away. The government is so wasteful, and it has no clue that I need another computer, or that I have to take my kitten to a vet.
But the grown up in me knows that taxes in a democratic society is really a money pool for services we all collectively need like:
schools, public transportation, law enforcement, firefighters, and even a helping hand when we become old and feeble or lose a job, etc.
Sometimes, of course, this money pays for something we don’t like. I don’t like wars. Some don’t like welfare.
But a strong society should have some military might (we do get attacked – 9/11 comes to mind, for instance), and a strong society should take care of its needy (or we may have riots, revolutions, or, at least, whole a lot of crime).
It tickles me that “Mama Grisly” and her brood are so against taxes and government. Alaska gets more government subsidies than any other state. What are they going to do out there once they cut our taxes: eat snow?
So the Republicans and people who drink spiked tea say that stimulus has not worked (even though their leader Bush Jr. approved it first – because they collapsed our economy). They want less taxes, less government jobs and strangle the unions out of existence. In other words, they want to create African way of living in North America (this way they would not have to import slaves, as we would have plenty of them right here).
Interestingly enough, many of them are not rich. They simply drink spiked tea and think they may become so.
They may be faithful followers of trickle-down economics. The latter was not invented by Reagan. It has been in existence until 20th century. But now the rich invest wherever they find the cheapest labor, and it is not the U.S. (yet).
The truly rich, by the way, tend to be democrats and are ready to pay taxes, because they are much better educated and they dig history and economics.
But they are spineless, and as soon as those on spiked tea yell at them, they too begin to talk cutting government (good jobs), unions (good jobs) and taxes that create those good jobs…

Posted in American economy, economy, FINANCES, global economy, labor market, opinion, personal finance, politics, predictions, Uncategorized | Tagged: , , , , , , , , , , , , | 14 Comments »

THE SILENT BANG

Posted by Ella Moss on August 16, 2010

For more than 10 years, ever since I’ve got ephemeries for the 21st century I was expecting something huge happening around 8/1/2010. In fact, I’ve marked that day as a possible start of the World War III.
When the financial crisis was officially announced, and I took a look at the charts for the U.S., I figured the time period around 8/1/2010 would mark a true low of that crisis.
I prayed to my avatar guru, yet still waited to see what would occur.
Well, apparently, nothing loud and big happened in the world except for hustoric flood in Packistan.
Yet something was happening: I have not received a single order since the week prior to August 1.
Of course, for a while, I thought it was my bad luck – just like at the end of 2007.
You, my reader, probably, had no slightest idea there is a financial crisis going on in the fall of 2007. Most of the people had no clue until the summer of 2008.
Well, people in legal industry had no idea either. Everyone was blaming their personal bad luck just like I did, until we were told that everyone is in the hole.
Legal industry suffered the blows before everyone else did, because the ultimate Payer in all civil litigations is the insurance industry. In this financial crisis, it is the insurance industry that suffered well before anyone else did, so the first people to fall off the ladder were the legal professionals and, of course, everyone who offers their services to them – like me.
When my mind finally drew this parallel, I’ve decided to check on the news specifically pertaining to insurance and legal industries, and this is what I found:
In June, 3,600 attorneys were laid off in NYC alone. In July, 800 more there were let go.
These are not front page news (yet). I found them in one little noticed article in some financial news on insurance industry.
But it told me more than hours of CNN watching. It told me what the article did not mention: the insurance industry is once again in the red ink, and it curtailing all the litigation, preferring to settle instead.
Why would it be in troubles now? Well, quite possible, the commercial real estate is defaulting now – that is something that economists were expecting for awhile now.
If we are watching repeat of 2008 problems, in about 6 – 8 months from now the financial industry would be buckling, and we may finally hear about the second coming of financial crisis on CNN.
So astrology, once again, proved itself right, but this big bang is truly silent – for now, of course.

Posted in American economy, astrology, economy, FINANCES, labor market, personal finance, predictions, Uncategorized | Tagged: , , , , , , , , , , , , | 5 Comments »

SHRINKING DOLLARS

Posted by Ella Moss on June 25, 2010

A few days ago a friend of mine confided that she did not have a raise in 10 years, and now her company is cutting her hours.
My friend is a physical therapist.
I am an owner of a tiny business in a completely different field. My income is neither wages nor salary. It is the net profit from my business. Yet I have the same predicament. My income remained flat for 12 years.
When I was single, living in a posh building in a posh part of town and paying $900 in monthly rent, which included utilities, that was a pretty good income, and I was certainly a middle class girl.
Moreover, my income increased steadily through the nineties, and I was certain of a decent future for myself.
I was so certain, in fact, that I did not bother to save for a rainy day.
I did whole a lot of traveling, skiing, and other fun things.
Then I got married, had a kid, moved to a cheaper part of town where I got an apartment twice as big for monthly rent just a bit higher than my previous digs.
My income remained the same because my subcontractors kept raising their rates but my clients began to cheapen out. Excuses were understandable: we did have a recession in 2000, then in 2001 (“9/11″), then in 2003, etc.
I probably could get out of my shell and get more clients to increase my income, but my kid and failing marriage kept me busy.
Then in the fall of 2007 I finally became a single mom, and 2 months later the FINANCIAL CRISIS hit me (my business is closely related to the insurance industry so I’ve experienced the crisis long before the rest of America did).
In 2008, my income went down significantly. So now I had no choice and got out of my shell, and got myself many more clients. I have also reduced rates of my subcontractors.
Yet my income did not jump. It simply went back to the pre-crisis level, because I had to cut my rates also. Everyone is in the bind.
I am not even talking about payment time-table that is now 4 times as long. Before the crisis, if a company took 2 months or longer to pay, I was on their case already. Now I don’t even bother with inquiries till 4 months past due.
It is my flat income that gets me, because my life is twice as expensive now. My rent now is $1510/mo, plus utilities that are twice what they used to be in 2000. My ground phone line that I use for fax only is also twice of what it used to be in 2000. So is my transportation expense, internet, my cell phones, etc.
My monthly grocery bill has grown now more than twice, even though my son and I eat much less than my ex (it used to be that half of my monthly grocery budget went to his propitiation).
In other words, it takes now twice the amount of dollars to cover living expenses, and they say there is no inflation.
There is no inflation, because our incomes have deflated.

It used to be that incomes would grow almost at the same rate as inflation of overall prices. It was called inflation, and was supposed to be a bad thing for economy.
Now I miss inflation. Because the value of my dollar has shrank 50% or more, but I don’t have more paper in my wallet to make up the lost value. My paper income remains flat, but the real income has shrank.
I am no longer a middle class girl, I am a working poor one, and my future looks pretty bleak. I have no extra dollar to save, I have no pension coming, and as an entrepreneur I have no other safety nets like unemployment benefits, which my ex is enjoying now.
Instead, I am working 3 times as much as I used to, and spend so much more just to get the same shrinking dollar.
I would not be writing about it, if it was just my predicament. I am writing about it, because 90% of Americans are in this shrinking boat.
Even the super-rich (like Warren Buffet or Bill Gates) have lost some dollar value thanks to real estate and stock market deflation. I am sure though that they are offsetting their rising living expense by paying less those who work for them or do business with them.
The simply rich (like Donald Trump) may actually feel much poorer because they lost just as much on stock market, real estate, Bernie Madoff and their leverage in reducing cost of business / living is not as great.
The upper middle class is now, for most part, is what middle class used to be, for the same reason.
Middle class… What middle class? Unless you are a civil servant, you would no longer fit that category. I bet your 401K keeps you awake at night.
There are so many things that went wrong for the dollar that there are not enough fingers on a hand to point them all out: derivatives, run-away credit, the cost of oil, global labor market…
Honestly, it is the global labor market that is the main culprit in stagnation of American income. But that is 10,000lbs gorilla in the room that no one is talking about. Trust me, immigration is the least of our problem. It is competition with the guys safely in their native third world countries that is doing us in. No one is talking about it on CNN, because business is happy with reduced labor costs. Except that most businesspeople don’t realize yet that spending their dollars in China or Africa shrinks consumption in America, which, inevitably, leads to their profit remaining flat too despite the reduced labor costs.
Simple economy101: wealth is produced where goods are produced.
The great minds who decided to open the labor market in 1990s must have thought as follows:
As other countries get richer, there are going to be more markets for American goods, so America would get richer too.
They did not take in consideration, however, that American production would not be able to compete with cheaper labor costs elsewhere and would shut down, impoverishing our country for the sake of China, Uganda and so on.
The only reason we did not feel the pinch right away was the inflated real estate market that was still producing local wealth. With wind taken out of real estate, we are finally facing reality.
And, since Obama Administration was not able to push through another emergency unemployment benefits bill, we soon are going to see the third world reality right here at home.
These changes cannot really be amended anymore. With the advent of the internet, Jinny of American wealth has completely left the bottle and cannot be re-captured. We are looking at the dawn of new world, where Russia (the richest country in natural resources), China (the richest country in labor resources) and India (the richest country in intellectual resources) are going to compete for new super-power title (my money is on China, since it is much more organized); the U.S., Europe, Canada, Australia and Brazil are going to be the second world, and the rest remain in the 3rd place. The jury is out on Arab countries rich with oil. If the green economy takes hold, they are going to be pushed back into the third world. They may also simply kill themselves with suicide bombers, expanded Taliban, etc.
SO, PLEASE, AMERICA, BUY AMERICAN PRODUCTS AND USE LOCAL SERVICES!
But, then, again, who can afford American products now when American dollar has shrunk so much…
Well, I am griping now, yet I know there is going to be more to gripe about a month from now… Read my previous article on that.

Posted in American economy, economy, FINANCES, global economy, labor market, personal finance, predictions, Uncategorized | Tagged: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 5 Comments »

 
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