Zodiac Times

God measures our time by Zodiac Clock. I am an astrologer. I know how to read God's clock. But it is my business what I do with my alotted time. This is my spiritual journey.

Posts Tagged ‘trickle-down economics’

THE MYTHOLOGY AND REALITY OF FREE ENTERPRISE

Posted by Ella Moss on October 15, 2011

Last week I took my 10 y.o. son to the “Occupy Wall Street” hang out so he could see the democracy in action.
Since I have predicted these kind of protests in my “From Middle East to Middle of America” piece in February, I was particularly interested in witnessing this protest.
Although I consider myself one of the 99% unrepresented people in the US by either politicians or the media, and “The 99%” is the subtitle of this protest, I found that none of the tiny groups gathered in this tiny square represented me either. I am neither an anarchist, nor socialist nor Ron Paul fan.
The only guy who more-or-less spoke for me there was a little known scientist / politician Harry Braun of PhoenixProjectFoundation.us.. He was interesting to me not just because of the stories he told of scientific inventions ready to change the world but stalled because The Big Corporations were against them, but because he rightfully suggested that THE ONLY WAY TO CIRCUMVENT THE BIG BUSINESS LOBBYING IS BY CALLING CONSTITUTIONAL CONVENTIONS.
I believe that Big Business Lobbying is a huge part of all the wrong things that have lead to the present economic and political crisis.
This lobbying by the way is exactly why the “Free enterprise” ideology is nothing but a promotion of a dangerous myth.
In order to separate the mythology of “Free Enterprise” ideology from facts, one needs to examine history from the economics perspective.
Skipping the stone age, let’s start from slave labor based economics of the ancient Greece, Rome and the rest of the world, really, of that time.
The government regulated that economy by protecting the rights of slave owners and undermining the rights of slaves. The ancient countries and towns also had trade tariffs. Most importantly, social customs created “casts” that largely prevented poor people even if free to move up the social ladder and participate in profitable enterprise. So the enterprise was not quite free then.The economy, by the way, was of strictly “trickle down” variety, and middle class was no larger than 10% of society, where 1% were the rich and powerful, and the rest 89% were poor and poorer.
Entering the Middle Ages:
The economy was now feudal. The laborers were no longer slaves, even though they too could be bought and sold, and had no real freedom of movement within the territory and societal ladder. The middle class was still negligible, and the economy was still regulated by
a) societal customs of “casts” (i.e. the children of a tailor would be tailors, and peasants could not become aristocracy)
b) Laws that protected aristocracy and the rich and undermined the rights of everyone else
c) trade tariffs
So enterprise was not free either.
Moving on to the Industrial Age:
Breakthroughs in scientific discoveries were closely followed by technological advances, birthing industries that were as labor intensive as agriculture and required promotion of societal and migrational movement within society.
Since industries also required large financial investments, and money historically concentrated within the 1% of the rich and powerful, the same rich and powerful instituted new laws that allowed poor enough freedom to move around and enslave themselves for substandard wages to industrialists.
The many revolutions of that time, including the American one, were lead by rich and powerful (who were also the only educated people) that were able to capitalize on always present anger of the poor.
The American civil war was based on the fact that industrialized North needed laborers and could not afford slaves (who, besides being expensive, needed housing away from cities (segregation requirement) + transportation, etc.), so it needed to change the laws that favored the slave-labor based agricultural South. Everything else is a myth.
The large industries also needed the educated middle class to manage the many laborers, so education and money began to trickle down through the society, allowing for middle class growth.
While tariffs were still being implemented, the enterprise was largely unregulated, so it was at its freest stage.
Small businesses were popping up, the middle class was about 25%, but most of the wealth still belonged to the 1% of the rich and powerful that were investing into all big industries of that time (railroads, automotive business, oil, etc.).
Whenever these “Rubber Barons” encountered competition from a small business, they were either buying the small guy out or starve him out by lowering prices below cost (they were rich and they could afford it). Monopolies were easily achievable. Those industries that could not be gobbled up by 1 rich entity, resorted to fixing prices to keep the small guy at the bottom feed.
But that irked other rich people as well as now they also had difficulty entering the established industries (which were already monopolized or “fixed”), so new “Anti-monopoly and anti-trust” laws were put in place (although I still remember AT&T as a telephone monopoly).
But business went largely unregulated until the Great Depression.
This, however, did not create a happy prosperous society anywhere.
The nature of any business is to make as much profit as possible at the lowest possible cost. By the way, slaves are more expensive then laborers working for low wages. Besides being expensive outright, slaves need to be fed, clothed and housed. A free laborer must worry about all that himself and costs the lowest possible wage to the business. A business that is not regulated would not provide any health / retirement benefits if laborers have to compete for jobs. So large unemployment is good for business.
Businesses don’t care much about the future either. Their task is to maximize profits in the short run. Businesses don’t get sick or retire, they have no social conscience – they are not people. The owners of businesses may have conscience and may do charity. They may even make their business to give $ to charity if that generates good will and helps profit.
But any business is a money-making venture, pure and simple. Monopolies are good for businesses that can make it there; price fixing is profitable (many businesses continue doing this despite the regulations); cheap labor is coveted.
The more businesses are unregulated, the happier are the investors (the rich and powerful 1% of the society), and the harder it is on general population.
So during the early 20th century, the general population was living the tough life. In fact, the poor (70+%) were much, much angrier than even during the feudal times. They worked 80 hrs/ wk and barely made their ends meet for they were paid slave wages. They did not have the calming satisfaction of working the land and feeling one with nature. They felt used. So new revolutions were taking place all over: Russia, Germany, Spain, Italy, etc.
Countries that did not have full-blown revolutions, had plenty of unrest that was met with new laws favoring more equality.
The U.S. was no exception. The government had to relent and give legitimacy to unions. The Great Depression necessitated financial regulations to be put in place.
Since unions had money and bargaining power, the Big Business has finally met its match.
It was forced to pay living wages and benefits to its workers, and the middle class began to grow exponentially.
With the growth of the middle class came prosperity and much greater degree of equality.
The Big Business could not give up, however.
So
a)It made lobbying into an institution in order to persuade the government to do what it needed the government to do. For example, the oil industry needed to
1) keep other sources of energy out
2) get free ride from taxes and, on pretenses of needing the money to keep exploring oil fields, get subsidies and tax loop-holes
3) influence the international politics to keep oil countries in its pocket through war or piece, etc.
In fact, the government of every industrialized nation became mainly the promoter of the Big Business agenda.
b) The Big Business began privately funding “Think Tanks” in order to create so-called experts and promoters of ideology that suited the Big Business, and the “Conservative Movement” was born
c) The Big Business created organizations like ALEC, where 19 major corporations, like AT&T, ExxonMobil, Koch Industries, etc., meet with Republican politicians and give them the policies they would like to implement
d) The Big Business created the myth of “Liberal Left-leaning media” and began to promote its ideology via “alternative” conservative media.
I don’t remember who said at the advent of mass media that whoever controls the media he controls the world. Both, Hitler and Stalin knew and did that very well.
You would think that in the U.S. this would be difficult to implement. But people forget that media is also Big Business. So it was never liberal. Perhaps, it used to be more fair-handed by making profit through exposing popular opinion.
But since “liberal Media” myth was created, media has been scared to expose the polular opinion, and now is exposing the fringe opinion only, so the 99% of population feel left out.
Frankly, being part of this 99%, I never really cared much for either politics or economics, until it hit me in the pocket.
All uprisings begin when people feel unfairly impoverished.
Since the richer and better educated Big Business has been now winning its fight with unions through the subtle strategies outlined above, and the 99% of the population are feeling it, the uprising has began.
Like I’ve been saying, Pluto, the demolition ball of the universe, has entered Capricorn, the sign of societal law and order, government and corporations, in December of 2008, and that what it is going to transform in the next 14 years (it is there through 2023).
So the Arab Spring and “Occupy Wall Street” are the buds of bigger things to come.
And, unless we can establish the constitutional conventions or elect smart politicians in both houses + the White House (too far-fetched, right?), we are facing a really rough ride as a society.
By the way, like I said, I am not a socialist. I am an owner of small business, who is trying to hang on to my middle class status.

Posted in American economy, astrology, economy, education, FINANCES, global economy, labor market, opinion, personal finance, politics, predictions, Uncategorized | Tagged: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 2 Comments »

ON TAXES, UNIONS, JOBS AND DANGEROUS POLITICS

Posted by Ella Moss on October 25, 2010

1. JOBS
What job would you prefer:
a) a job that has annual wage increase specified in the contract, over-time pay for all work done beyond 40 hours on weekdays, all benefits and pension one can live on after 10 years or so of service
b) 60+ hours per week, high stress job with no benefits, no over-time pay, no pension whatsoever and wages just above minimum specified by congress
If you said “a”, you prefer either government or a union job, if “b” (WHO ARE YOU?!) – you’re gunning for a private sector.
Since it is a buyer market, whether we talk real estate or jobs, that’s how private sector job looks like right now.
Our government is putting even more teeth into the buyer market by trying to cater to those we do not name who want less government, less unions, and, yes, less taxes. The government cuts down on hiring, and laying off as many people as possible. Our future governor Cuomo promises to cut agencies and authorities by another 20%. New York 18b panel is going to put another 1000 lawyers on the street.
Last December, a partner of a medium size law firm told me of a job interview for a associate position:
“She told me, ‘I was making $120,000 at so and so. I’ve said, ‘We do not pay above $75,000. And she took it!”
I would not be surprised, that next year he would offer $35,000 for the same job.
Now, you need at least 7 years of higher education to become a lawyer (all those student loans), and then you take on a 60+ hrs / wk high stress job. It used to be that at least salary was worth it. Not anymore.
Make no mistake, employers (me included) would really prefer slave labor. So with no competition, we would do our best to get as close to that ideal as possible.
Once “Tea buggers” are elected, we may even pass a slave law in congress.
2.Unions
We all hate unions. They make everything more expensive. Look at MTA: every year we pay more for public transportation despite lack of tangible improvements, while their workers get paid more than lawyers, have all benefits and can comfortably retire at 55 years of age. I personally may never be able to retire at all. And then they even have a nerve to strike once in a while!
Now teachers union is under fire. Just think, once you have a tenure, all you need is to show up at work – working itself is not required.
But do you know that before unions came into being, there was no tangible middle class at all? Do you realize that the U.S. became a prosperous country only when unions gained strength and created huge middle class?
When 90% of people earn subsistence wages only, they have no discretional income to buy all that producers of goods and services want them to buy. So producers cut on production and lay people off, and economy contracts even further. Take a look at how people used to live before unions: their houses hardly had closets (most people had only one or 2 dresses), the houses were much smaller and often 10 people would live in 1 room. Oh, by the way, most people in Africa or Bungladesh, or Mexico still live that way. They have no unions and lots of almost-slave labor.
Do you still want to get rid off unions?
3. TAXES
Like everyone else, I try to pay as little tax as possible. After all, it’s my money that the government takes away. The government is so wasteful, and it has no clue that I need another computer, or that I have to take my kitten to a vet.
But the grown up in me knows that taxes in a democratic society is really a money pool for services we all collectively need like:
schools, public transportation, law enforcement, firefighters, and even a helping hand when we become old and feeble or lose a job, etc.
Sometimes, of course, this money pays for something we don’t like. I don’t like wars. Some don’t like welfare.
But a strong society should have some military might (we do get attacked – 9/11 comes to mind, for instance), and a strong society should take care of its needy (or we may have riots, revolutions, or, at least, whole a lot of crime).
It tickles me that “Mama Grisly” and her brood are so against taxes and government. Alaska gets more government subsidies than any other state. What are they going to do out there once they cut our taxes: eat snow?
So the Republicans and people who drink spiked tea say that stimulus has not worked (even though their leader Bush Jr. approved it first – because they collapsed our economy). They want less taxes, less government jobs and strangle the unions out of existence. In other words, they want to create African way of living in North America (this way they would not have to import slaves, as we would have plenty of them right here).
Interestingly enough, many of them are not rich. They simply drink spiked tea and think they may become so.
They may be faithful followers of trickle-down economics. The latter was not invented by Reagan. It has been in existence until 20th century. But now the rich invest wherever they find the cheapest labor, and it is not the U.S. (yet).
The truly rich, by the way, tend to be democrats and are ready to pay taxes, because they are much better educated and they dig history and economics.
But they are spineless, and as soon as those on spiked tea yell at them, they too begin to talk cutting government (good jobs), unions (good jobs) and taxes that create those good jobs…

Posted in American economy, economy, FINANCES, global economy, labor market, opinion, personal finance, politics, predictions, Uncategorized | Tagged: , , , , , , , , , , , , | 14 Comments »

New Economy, or Buy American, Stupid!

Posted by Ella Moss on February 20, 2009

So, the new stimulus package is passed, hopes are up, markets are down,  and recession deepens. Everyone is blaming the housing market, unscrupulous bankers and inept previous administration.
But very few seem to understand the true roots of our woes, and how deep our economic problems go.
Believe me, the trillion dollar stimulus is but a bandaid on a very deep wound!
Everyone is stuck with the 20th century economic model:
an entrepreneur discovers a need->manufactures solution->gets rich->creates demands->someone else fulfills those demands->gets rich->creates more demands->those who supply solutions get rich too->created jobs create more jobs->society gets richer and richer

This is the 21st century global economics model:
manufacturers/suppliers find cheaper workforce in a poor country->enrich that country->the workforce gets more expensive->the suppliers go to another cheaper country->previous producing countries get poorer, their workforce immigrates to a new labor market->wages stagnate or get lower->more labor markets get poorer->no one can afford the supplies anymore->manufacturers go bust->everyone gets even poorer.

If you don’t believe me, here’s a news bit on Ireland. Ireland was in great demand as a labor market, because people spoke English, were educated, yet asked for much lower wages than UK or American workers. The labor market there was so hot, that Polish and other poorer EU brethren immigrated to Ireland.
But the workers grew too expensive in Ireland as economy there heated up, so the companies left for cheaper labor markets like Poland. Now Irish workers immigrate to Poland. But they no longer get the same wages. Living expenses are cheaper in Poland for now, so it makes some sense. Once Polish economy booms, however, and living expense there goes, accordingly, up, Poland would face the same economic bust, as now does Ireland.
India was also a popular labor market. But they started asking for too much money, so China became a place to be for manufacturers.
Lately, however, the “smart” manufacturers have been migrating to Africa.

Where does it leave the U.S. – the original place of labor migration?
I found an article in one of the New York’s free newspapers (Metro is it?) that the U.S. stills manufactures 65% of its products domestically (down from the 20th century’s 80%).
But it does not say, that the domestic wages went up. Because for the past 7 – 8 years they have not. Domestic salaries have not increased either. In fact, many went down. Because our labor force now competes for wages with Irish, Polish, Indian, Chinese, Mexican and other labor forces of the world.
The only market that saw increase in the U.S. in the past 8 years was the housing market, as speculators (flippers, real estate and mortgage brokers) kept pushing the prices up to the point of unaffordability by the impoverished middle class (the domestic labor force).
The feeling of prosperity that bubble has created had no base in reality. That feeling was based on the ease of credit (future income of financial sector ->future prosperity), which was given on a funny assumption that housing prices would continue to rise as wages have historically done so, affording better prices.
But our wages could no longer support our consumption on easy credit, hence prices and credit crunch.
No matter where our income was coming from, its sources were disappearing or getting smaller at best.
Not only manufacturing was leaving America, services were too.
Web design, translations, document processing, customer service – all were becoming outsourced. When was the last time you have heard a customer service representative on the other end of the phone that did not speak with an Indian accent?
People in this country that specialized in the services that were now easily outsourced could no longer ask for wage increase, if they were to be kept employed.

In the 21st century, the labor market is global. That means, the wages for the same services performed would eventually average out. If a Russian translator in the U.S. asks now for $.14/word, and a Russian translator in Siberia asks now for $.05/wd for the same job, eventually they will all go down to $.05/wd. If a worker at a Chrysler plant in Detroit asks for $35/hr, and a worker at a Chrysler plant in Mexico asks for $5/hr, eventually they will all ask for $5/hr – because it is natural for any company to seek out a cheaper labor.
Since the impoverished global workforce is not going to be able to afford $30,000 cars and $300,000 homes, those prices will go down too -unless they are artificially held high by governments’ bailouts. But bailouts cannot continue indefinitely. So the prices will continue to deflate in accordance with deflated average incomes. Middle class is going to disappear (it may take a few decades), unless the governments would wake up and set up some protection.

No, not trade protection – that is passe. It is the labor markets that must be protected, if we don’t want to go back to the economy we used to have throughout 10th – 19th centuries – the economy of a few very rich, and the rest being very poor indeed.

But I am not stupid enough to expect our government (or any other for that matter) to step in with labor force protection. Besides, the ease and cheapness of global communication and travel would create serious obstacles to any attempt to create such protection.
The only thing that may protect our domestic labor force is the consumer movement. Just as our demand for green products has eventually created green industries, our demand for products made in America may protect domestic work force..to some extent.
Incidently, when was the last time you saw something made in America in a store?

Posted in Uncategorized | Tagged: , , , , , , , , , | 8 Comments »

IT’S THE ECONOMY, STUPID!

Posted by Ella Moss on September 15, 2008

In this post, I am going to deviate a bit from the main theme of the blog in order to put in my 2 cents as to what is going on this Monday, 9/15 – which is surely to become a historic date with Lehman Brothers declaring bankruptcy, AIG struggling to hold on and begging for government to save it, and Merryl Lynch being bought out by surely overextended Bank of America that just gobbled up Country-Wide and another bank.
This is American economy tearing up at the seam.
In fact, it is in the contracting stage that may take us into black hole of true depression.
It goes like this:
Fuel + Energy go up -> food + other consumer goods go up -> discretionary income goes down -> affluent consumer dependent businesses go down -> unemployment rises -> discretionary + necessary income evaporate -> housing market that is undergoing righteous correction dips further -> more banks go down -> credit tightens further ->new ventures and investment in start ups go down ->market stagnates at the bottom
Is there a way out? GOVERNMENT MUST STEP IN to reverse this chain of events, but not by bailing out greedy investors or by expanding social welfare system.
When businesses begin to fail and unemployment rises, the government should increase its payroll and spend on infrastructure, and energy R & D. Then unemployment goes down -> discretional spending goes up -> more business thrive -> more people are employed -> more $ for everyone.
None of presidential candidates talk about the U.S.’ failing infrastructure. In fact McCain wants to rein in the government spending. THIS IS NOT THE TIME TO DO IT. Let our deficit grow, let us borrow money to keep the economy going, or the big U.S.A. can also become bankrupt. THIS IS VERY POSSIBLE!
In fact, as an astrologer, I certainly look at 2010 – 2011 as the time of economic earthquake of huge magnitude in this country.
I have business education, and have been in business all my adult life. My common sense and my experience both say that tightening of credit during economic downturn is the recipe for disaster.
One fact is particularly scary: McCain’s main adviser on economy is the mastermind of chopped up and repackaged mortgages – the investment instrument of “financial destruction” that got our economy into hot water in the first place.
Even though I stand by my prediction that McCain is going to be our next president, I do not favor him. He is planning to continue the Republican party economic policies, which, essentially boil down to trickle-down-economics theory.
This theory does not work because in reality it works like this:
With global markets and labor pools wide open, outsourcing lowers the wages ->the middle class and poor grow poorer -> the pool of unemployed and desperate rises -> more people would take low paying hard jobs ->the rich may lower the wages and demand more-> the rich grow richer -> the poor grows poorer.
If you don’t believe it, go back to history books: that’s how it has been throughout history, which has always had trickle-down economy. The middle class rose to empowering numbers in this country during the middle of the twentieth century only, and only thanks to FDR’s policies set to end depression – which was exactly what I advocate: spending government money, lowering credit and putting people to work.
Obama does not have the right solutions to problems of American economy either. But, at least, he is planning on spending. He also wants to tax the rich, while bringing welcome relieve to the middle class.
I don’t know how about you, guys, but I am voting for Obama as for lesser evil!
P.S. Hail to the Chief! After 8 years of stripping the country of much of its democracy, getting us involved in the war on 2 fronts, ruining economy by allowing unprecedented speculation in real estate mortgages, he now refuses AIG the bridge loan it needs to survive. AIG’s demise would send such ripples through the world economy, that would send American economy over the tipping point. SOS!
P.P.S. 9/16
Well, here we go: McCain just announced that he would create a special commission that would study the current financial problems. As we don’t know what got us into the hole. But it would certainly create another 2 years of government inaction. By that time, we all are going to be in the poor house, because McCain also thinks that AIG is expendable (just when they finally found a semblance of a brain in the White House and are considering helping AIG to stay afloat).
The reason we all are heading into the poor house once AIG sinks is because it insures and underwrites many, many other banks and such entities as NY state and NYC!…
And, just think, I have once considered voting for McCain! Shame on me for giving Bush the Third a benefit of a doubt…
Honestly, I don’t think this country’s economic infrastructure could take another 4 years of no brains at the top…
P.P.P.S
So the White House has borrowed the brains and lent AIG staggering amount of $$$. It also looks at owning 80% of AIG. So it would become insurance Fanny or Freddy… And then, maybe, it would be able to pay its debt to China :-) )

Posted in Uncategorized | Tagged: , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 4 Comments »

 
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